Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 33°C on September 13, with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 31–34°C, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 71% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of 27.1°C but falls well short of the date's record of 36°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without anomalous heat advection. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under sunny skies, with little model divergence expected before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月13日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 73%
32°C 14%
34°C 14%
30°C <1%
$31,906 交易量
$31,906 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
14%
33°C
73%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
33°C 73%
32°C 14%
34°C 14%
30°C <1%
$31,906 交易量
$31,906 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$239 交易量
<1%
27°C
$173 交易量
<1%
28°C
$320 交易量
<1%
29°C
$708 交易量
<1%
30°C
$946 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,007 交易量
<1%
32°C
$9,318 交易量
14%
33°C
$6,950 交易量
73%
34°C
$5,322 交易量
14%
35°C
$2,685 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$1,237 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 33°C on September 13, with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 31–34°C, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 71% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of 27.1°C but falls well short of the date's record of 36°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without anomalous heat advection. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under sunny skies, with little model divergence expected before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$31,906結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 33°C on September 13, with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 31–34°C, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 71% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of 27.1°C but falls well short of the date's record of 36°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without anomalous heat advection. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under sunny skies, with little model divergence expected before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,906結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETClear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 33°C on September 13, with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 31–34°C, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 71% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of 27.1°C but falls well short of the date's record of 36°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without anomalous heat advection. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under sunny skies, with little model divergence expected before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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