Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Munich on September 13 near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, limiting surface heating compared with clearer conditions. This places the peak temperature near the September climatological average of around 20°C while falling well short of historical extremes above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds for 21°C or below, 22°C, and 23°C stems from typical model spread in afternoon maximums, with later-day rain expected to cap further warming. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the peak will likely refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
22°C 29%
21°C或以下 27%
23°C 25%
24°C 13%
$15,696 交易量
$15,696 交易量
21°C或以下
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
22°C 29%
21°C或以下 27%
23°C 25%
24°C 13%
$15,696 交易量
$15,696 交易量
21°C或以下
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Munich on September 13 near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, limiting surface heating compared with clearer conditions. This places the peak temperature near the September climatological average of around 20°C while falling well short of historical extremes above 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched odds for 21°C or below, 22°C, and 23°C stems from typical model spread in afternoon maximums, with later-day rain expected to cap further warming. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the peak will likely refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions