Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日北京最高溫度?
27°C 45%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
$21,596 交易量
$21,596 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
45%
28°C
38%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 45%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
$21,596 交易量
$21,596 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
45%
28°C
38%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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