**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high in Wuhan on September 15 reflects official METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 29°C at 16:00 local time amid overcast skies, light easterly winds around 5–11 km/h, and moderate humidity near 40–60%.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where daily highs typically average near 29°C under similar subtropical conditions. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data converged on this value without significant afternoon warming, as cloud cover limited solar heating. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike above 29°C in remaining hourly readings or a post-event data revision by monitoring agencies, though current trends make such changes improbable before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日武漢氣溫最高？
9月15日武漢氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,984 交易量
$29,984 交易量
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,984 交易量
$29,984 交易量
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
$4,140 交易量
否
27°C
$4,038 交易量
否
28°C
$5,367 交易量
否
29°C
$5,639 交易量
是
30°C
$4,000 交易量
否
31°C
$2,928 交易量
否
32°C
$1,439 交易量
否
33°C
$382 交易量
否
34°C
$1,336 交易量
否
35°C
$357 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$357 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high in Wuhan on September 15 reflects official METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 29°C at 16:00 local time amid overcast skies, light easterly winds around 5–11 km/h, and moderate humidity near 40–60%.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where daily highs typically average near 29°C under similar subtropical conditions. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data converged on this value without significant afternoon warming, as cloud cover limited solar heating. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike above 29°C in remaining hourly readings or a post-event data revision by monitoring agencies, though current trends make such changes improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$29,984結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high in Wuhan on September 15 reflects official METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 29°C at 16:00 local time amid overcast skies, light easterly winds around 5–11 km/h, and moderate humidity near 40–60%.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where daily highs typically average near 29°C under similar subtropical conditions. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data converged on this value without significant afternoon warming, as cloud cover limited solar heating. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike above 29°C in remaining hourly readings or a post-event data revision by monitoring agencies, though current trends make such changes improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,984結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high in Wuhan on September 15 reflects official METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), which recorded a daily maximum of exactly 29°C at 16:00 local time amid overcast skies, light easterly winds around 5–11 km/h, and moderate humidity near 40–60%.** This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where daily highs typically average near 29°C under similar subtropical conditions. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data converged on this value without significant afternoon warming, as cloud cover limited solar heating. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike above 29°C in remaining hourly readings or a post-event data revision by monitoring agencies, though current trends make such changes improbable before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions