Recent weather model runs, including GFS guidance and consensus from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute, position Helsinki for a mild day on September 19 with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain limiting daytime heating. Forecast highs cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C, consistent with climatological norms near 14–15°C but elevated by the current pattern. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because model spreads remain modest, with limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger advection and downside risk from heavier precipitation or timing of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
9月19日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
17°C 63%
16°C 31%
18°C 7%
15°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
31%
17°C
63%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
17°C 63%
16°C 31%
18°C 7%
15°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
$309 交易量
<1%
12°C
$329 交易量
<1%
13°C
$103 交易量
<1%
14°C
$365 交易量
1%
15°C
$555 交易量
3%
16°C
$2,746 交易量
31%
17°C
$2,313 交易量
63%
18°C
$669 交易量
7%
19°C
$438 交易量
1%
20°C
$261 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs, including GFS guidance and consensus from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute, position Helsinki for a mild day on September 19 with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain limiting daytime heating. Forecast highs cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C, consistent with climatological norms near 14–15°C but elevated by the current pattern. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because model spreads remain modest, with limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger advection and downside risk from heavier precipitation or timing of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,301結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs, including GFS guidance and consensus from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute, position Helsinki for a mild day on September 19 with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain limiting daytime heating. Forecast highs cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C, consistent with climatological norms near 14–15°C but elevated by the current pattern. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because model spreads remain modest, with limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger advection and downside risk from heavier precipitation or timing of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,301結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent weather model runs, including GFS guidance and consensus from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute, position Helsinki for a mild day on September 19 with southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain limiting daytime heating. Forecast highs cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C, consistent with climatological norms near 14–15°C but elevated by the current pattern. Traders have concentrated implied probability on these two outcomes because model spreads remain modest, with limited upside potential from clearer breaks or stronger advection and downside risk from heavier precipitation or timing of the daily peak. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions