Official forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations at Incheon have converged on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings align precisely with this threshold, consistent with mid-September climatological norms of around 25–26°C averages but elevated by recent clear conditions. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of this strong observational consensus. Minor deviations in final official reporting or localized microclimate effects at the resolution station remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,474 交易量
$55,474 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,474 交易量
$55,474 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations at Incheon have converged on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 18, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings align precisely with this threshold, consistent with mid-September climatological norms of around 25–26°C averages but elevated by recent clear conditions. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of this strong observational consensus. Minor deviations in final official reporting or localized microclimate effects at the resolution station remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions