**The market's near-certain consensus on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 20, 2026, rests on preliminary and final observational data from National Weather Service stations such as Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and Camp Mabry.** Afternoon readings peaked in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with model guidance and exceeding the 1991–2020 daily average high of 90°F. Recent dryness and a lingering warm airmass supported the outcome, while an incoming cold front and scattered showers arrived too late to suppress the maximum. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum; minor station discrepancies or post-analysis adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different bin, though current reports align tightly with the 96-97°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
96-97°F 100.0%
89華氏度或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$18,870 交易量
$18,870 交易量
89華氏度或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
89華氏度或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$18,870 交易量
$18,870 交易量
89華氏度或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**The market's near-certain consensus on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 20, 2026, rests on preliminary and final observational data from National Weather Service stations such as Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and Camp Mabry.** Afternoon readings peaked in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with model guidance and exceeding the 1991–2020 daily average high of 90°F. Recent dryness and a lingering warm airmass supported the outcome, while an incoming cold front and scattered showers arrived too late to suppress the maximum. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum; minor station discrepancies or post-analysis adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different bin, though current reports align tightly with the 96-97°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions