Forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through September 17, indicate a persistent southwesterly flow over the North Sea will advect mild maritime air toward Amsterdam on September 19. This setup supports afternoon highs near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, limiting daytime warming compared to clear conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 20°C and 21°C outcomes favored due to expected wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and dew points around 14–15°C. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the mild anomaly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 56%
20°C 32%
22°C 9%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
32%
21°C
56%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 56%
20°C 32%
22°C 9%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$50 交易量
<1%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$63 交易量
7%
20°C
$247 交易量
32%
21°C
$546 交易量
56%
22°C
$34 交易量
9%
23°C
$44 交易量
6%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$28 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$234 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through September 17, indicate a persistent southwesterly flow over the North Sea will advect mild maritime air toward Amsterdam on September 19. This setup supports afternoon highs near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, limiting daytime warming compared to clear conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 20°C and 21°C outcomes favored due to expected wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and dew points around 14–15°C. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the mild anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,245結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through September 17, indicate a persistent southwesterly flow over the North Sea will advect mild maritime air toward Amsterdam on September 19. This setup supports afternoon highs near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, limiting daytime warming compared to clear conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 20°C and 21°C outcomes favored due to expected wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and dew points around 14–15°C. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the mild anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,245結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through September 17, indicate a persistent southwesterly flow over the North Sea will advect mild maritime air toward Amsterdam on September 19. This setup supports afternoon highs near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, limiting daytime warming compared to clear conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 20°C and 21°C outcomes favored due to expected wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and dew points around 14–15°C. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the mild anomaly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions