**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日青島氣溫最高？
9月13日青島氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,782 交易量
$23,782 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,782 交易量
$23,782 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
$183 交易量
否
23°C
$168 交易量
否
24°C
$227 交易量
否
25°C
$1,171 交易量
否
26°C
$2,674 交易量
否
27°C
$7,078 交易量
否
28°C
$5,248 交易量
是
29°C
$4,462 交易量
否
30°C
$1,378 交易量
否
31°C
$572 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$622 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,782結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,782結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions