Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日重慶氣溫最高？
9月15日重慶氣溫最高？
21°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,711 交易量
$32,711 交易量
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,711 交易量
$32,711 交易量
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
$1,720 交易量
否
21°C
$13,581 交易量
是
22°C
$4,845 交易量
否
23°C
$3,028 交易量
否
24°C
$3,371 交易量
否
25°C
$3,549 交易量
否
26°C
$1,327 交易量
否
27°C
$640 交易量
否
28°C
$235 交易量
否
29°C
$304 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$111 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$32,711結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,711結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show persistent cloud cover, rain, and limited solar heating in Chongqing on September 15, producing a consensus daily maximum of 21°C under stable atmospheric conditions with high humidity and light winds. This aligns with current observations of overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming below typical late-summer levels for the region. The market's 99.6% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects traders' assessment of these verified model outputs and real-time data. A rapid clearing of clouds or weaker-than-expected rainfall could allow additional insolation and push readings to 22°C or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions