Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30 °C in Chongqing on September 25 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northwest winds and high humidity near 70–85 %. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30 °C, reflecting modest daytime heating as autumnal cooling begins and residual moisture from recent regional precipitation limits surface warming. Historical September maxima average near 27 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology yet remains below peak summer values. Model spread is narrow, but small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact peak by 1 °C before the 24-hour forecast window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日重慶氣溫最高?
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 10%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
27%
29°C
35%
30°C
23%
31°C
7%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 10%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
27%
29°C
35%
30°C
23%
31°C
7%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30 °C in Chongqing on September 25 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northwest winds and high humidity near 70–85 %. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30 °C, reflecting modest daytime heating as autumnal cooling begins and residual moisture from recent regional precipitation limits surface warming. Historical September maxima average near 27 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology yet remains below peak summer values. Model spread is narrow, but small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact peak by 1 °C before the 24-hour forecast window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions