**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike. Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日釜山的最高溫度？
9月15日釜山的最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,286 交易量
$23,286 交易量
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,286 交易量
$23,286 交易量
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
$374 交易量
否
24°C
$204 交易量
否
25°C
$380 交易量
否
26°C
$308 交易量
否
27°C
$1,173 交易量
否
28°C
$4,074 交易量
否
29°C
$6,068 交易量
是
30°C
$6,280 交易量
否
31°C
$3,536 交易量
否
32°C
$772 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$119 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike.
Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$23,286結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike.
Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,286結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike. Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions