**The market's near-certain pricing on 20°C as the day's highest temperature reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that peak.** Clear skies, southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa allowed daytime warming to reach 20°C during the afternoon hours at Cape Town stations, consistent with model consensus from sources like the South African Weather Service and international forecasts. This outcome aligns with the day's climatological range for mid-September, where maxima typically fall between 17–21°C under similar conditions. Traders priced in the result once hourly data and official summaries locked in the exact threshold, leaving negligible room for other bins. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a redefinition of the measurement window, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are verified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月17日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月17日的最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$38,398 交易量
$38,398 交易量
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$38,398 交易量
$38,398 交易量
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
$1,764 交易量
否
14°C
$187 交易量
否
15°C
$548 交易量
否
16°C
$2,133 交易量
否
17°C
$2,603 交易量
否
18°C
$6,635 交易量
否
19°C
$12,630 交易量
否
20°C
$5,095 交易量
是
21°C
$3,581 交易量
否
22°C
$785 交易量
否
23°C或以上
$2,437 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain pricing on 20°C as the day's highest temperature reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that peak.** Clear skies, southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa allowed daytime warming to reach 20°C during the afternoon hours at Cape Town stations, consistent with model consensus from sources like the South African Weather Service and international forecasts. This outcome aligns with the day's climatological range for mid-September, where maxima typically fall between 17–21°C under similar conditions.
Traders priced in the result once hourly data and official summaries locked in the exact threshold, leaving negligible room for other bins. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a redefinition of the measurement window, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,398結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain pricing on 20°C as the day's highest temperature reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that peak.** Clear skies, southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa allowed daytime warming to reach 20°C during the afternoon hours at Cape Town stations, consistent with model consensus from sources like the South African Weather Service and international forecasts. This outcome aligns with the day's climatological range for mid-September, where maxima typically fall between 17–21°C under similar conditions.
Traders priced in the result once hourly data and official summaries locked in the exact threshold, leaving negligible room for other bins. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a redefinition of the measurement window, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,398結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**The market's near-certain pricing on 20°C as the day's highest temperature reflects real-time meteorological observations confirming that peak.** Clear skies, southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa allowed daytime warming to reach 20°C during the afternoon hours at Cape Town stations, consistent with model consensus from sources like the South African Weather Service and international forecasts. This outcome aligns with the day's climatological range for mid-September, where maxima typically fall between 17–21°C under similar conditions. Traders priced in the result once hourly data and official summaries locked in the exact threshold, leaving negligible room for other bins. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision from the primary reporting station or a redefinition of the measurement window, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are verified.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions