Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Cape Town on September 21 because official forecasts and real-time observations from South African meteorological sources aligned on that exact maximum under mostly sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low humidity. Daytime temperatures climbed steadily through the afternoon, peaking near 27°C before cooling after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when highs typically range 18–24°C. With resolution imminent and minimal model spread or wind shifts observed, alternative outcomes carry negligible implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data could alter the result, though current measurements make this highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月21日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月21日的最高溫度？
27°C 100%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,384 交易量
$38,384 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,384 交易量
$38,384 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$5,303 交易量
否
23°C
$1,442 交易量
否
24°C
$4,015 交易量
否
25°C
$3,225 交易量
否
26°C
$5,348 交易量
否
27°C
$3,910 交易量
是
28°C
$4,938 交易量
否
29°C
$5,805 交易量
否
30°C
$1,652 交易量
否
31°C
$1,437 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$1,308 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Cape Town on September 21 because official forecasts and real-time observations from South African meteorological sources aligned on that exact maximum under mostly sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low humidity. Daytime temperatures climbed steadily through the afternoon, peaking near 27°C before cooling after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when highs typically range 18–24°C. With resolution imminent and minimal model spread or wind shifts observed, alternative outcomes carry negligible implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data could alter the result, though current measurements make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,384結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Cape Town on September 21 because official forecasts and real-time observations from South African meteorological sources aligned on that exact maximum under mostly sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low humidity. Daytime temperatures climbed steadily through the afternoon, peaking near 27°C before cooling after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when highs typically range 18–24°C. With resolution imminent and minimal model spread or wind shifts observed, alternative outcomes carry negligible implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data could alter the result, though current measurements make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,384結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Cape Town on September 21 because official forecasts and real-time observations from South African meteorological sources aligned on that exact maximum under mostly sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low humidity. Daytime temperatures climbed steadily through the afternoon, peaking near 27°C before cooling after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for late September when highs typically range 18–24°C. With resolution imminent and minimal model spread or wind shifts observed, alternative outcomes carry negligible implied probability. Only an unexpected late surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data could alter the result, though current measurements make this highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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