Clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain have positioned Madrid for a peak temperature near 32°C on September 21, 2026, aligning with AEMET forecasts of 18–32°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions maximize daytime insolation and limit evaporative cooling, pushing readings 6–7°C above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C while remaining well below the September 21 record of 32.6°C. Multiple model runs show limited spread around 30–33°C, with no approaching fronts or increased humidity to suppress the daily maximum. Trader emphasis on 32°C and 33°C reflects this consensus from official guidance and recent observational trends of above-normal September warmth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月21日馬德裏氣溫最高？
32°C 61%
33°C 40%
31°C 1.3%
34°C <1%
最新
$29,261 交易量
最新
$29,261 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
61%
33°C
40%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 40%
31°C 1.3%
34°C <1%
最新
$29,261 交易量
最新
$29,261 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
$1,225 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,192 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,512 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,294 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,449 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,767 交易量
1%
32°C
$7,882 交易量
61%
33°C
$7,006 交易量
40%
34°C
$3,029 交易量
1%
35°C
$741 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain have positioned Madrid for a peak temperature near 32°C on September 21, 2026, aligning with AEMET forecasts of 18–32°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions maximize daytime insolation and limit evaporative cooling, pushing readings 6–7°C above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C while remaining well below the September 21 record of 32.6°C. Multiple model runs show limited spread around 30–33°C, with no approaching fronts or increased humidity to suppress the daily maximum. Trader emphasis on 32°C and 33°C reflects this consensus from official guidance and recent observational trends of above-normal September warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$29,261結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain have positioned Madrid for a peak temperature near 32°C on September 21, 2026, aligning with AEMET forecasts of 18–32°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions maximize daytime insolation and limit evaporative cooling, pushing readings 6–7°C above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C while remaining well below the September 21 record of 32.6°C. Multiple model runs show limited spread around 30–33°C, with no approaching fronts or increased humidity to suppress the daily maximum. Trader emphasis on 32°C and 33°C reflects this consensus from official guidance and recent observational trends of above-normal September warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,261結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETClear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain have positioned Madrid for a peak temperature near 32°C on September 21, 2026, aligning with AEMET forecasts of 18–32°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions maximize daytime insolation and limit evaporative cooling, pushing readings 6–7°C above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C while remaining well below the September 21 record of 32.6°C. Multiple model runs show limited spread around 30–33°C, with no approaching fronts or increased humidity to suppress the daily maximum. Trader emphasis on 32°C and 33°C reflects this consensus from official guidance and recent observational trends of above-normal September warmth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions