Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs in Busan around 27–28°C on September 24 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited daytime heating due to autumnal transition and marine influence from the East Sea. These conditions support the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29–30°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation or localized warming. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, while upcoming model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or sea breezes could adjust outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日釜山的最高溫度？
9月24日釜山的最高溫度？
30°C 46%
29°C 36%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
36%
30°C
46%
31°C
16%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 46%
29°C 36%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$106 交易量
4%
28°C
$92 交易量
6%
29°C
$822 交易量
36%
30°C
$332 交易量
46%
31°C
$324 交易量
16%
32°C
$47 交易量
1%
33°C
$137 交易量
<1%
34°C
$145 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs in Busan around 27–28°C on September 24 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited daytime heating due to autumnal transition and marine influence from the East Sea. These conditions support the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29–30°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation or localized warming. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, while upcoming model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or sea breezes could adjust outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,099結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs in Busan around 27–28°C on September 24 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited daytime heating due to autumnal transition and marine influence from the East Sea. These conditions support the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29–30°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation or localized warming. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, while upcoming model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or sea breezes could adjust outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,099結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs in Busan around 27–28°C on September 24 under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited daytime heating due to autumnal transition and marine influence from the East Sea. These conditions support the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29–30°C as the highest temperature, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation or localized warming. Historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, while upcoming model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or sea breezes could adjust outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions