Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月24日最高溫度?
35°C 39%
36°C 26%
37°C 26%
33°C 15%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
15%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
12%
39°C或更高
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 26%
37°C 26%
33°C 15%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
15%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
12%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions