Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts position 18°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam’s September 24 maximum, with strong consensus around 17–18°C under northwesterly flow in a maritime polar air mass behind a recent front. High pressure building overhead favors mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with late-September climatology near 18°C. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 17°C and 19°C viable but secondary in trader pricing, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will further tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
18°C 59%
17°C 19%
19°C 17%
15°C 8%
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C
19%
18°C
59%
19°C
17%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
4%
18°C 59%
17°C 19%
19°C 17%
15°C 8%
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C
19%
18°C
59%
19°C
17%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ECMWF and multi-model forecasts position 18°C as the leading outcome for Amsterdam’s September 24 maximum, with strong consensus around 17–18°C under northwesterly flow in a maritime polar air mass behind a recent front. High pressure building overhead favors mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with late-September climatology near 18°C. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 17°C and 19°C viable but secondary in trader pricing, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will further tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions