Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan’s September 25 high will likely peak near 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and northeasterly flow ahead of a low-pressure system. Persistent overcast skies, higher humidity, and light onshore winds are limiting daytime heating compared with clearer conditions on the 24th, while coastal marine influence further moderates peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur midday, but shower chances rising in the afternoon introduce downside risk to the maximum. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between residual warmth and the cooling effects of increased cloudiness and moisture advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance on the 24th will be key for refining the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日釜山的最高溫度？
9月25日釜山的最高溫度？
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C或以上
7%
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$95 交易量
<1%
22°C
$95 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
14%
25°C
$75 交易量
20%
26°C
$0 交易量
25%
27°C
$19 交易量
32%
28°C
$35 交易量
27%
29°C
$5 交易量
6%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan’s September 25 high will likely peak near 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and northeasterly flow ahead of a low-pressure system. Persistent overcast skies, higher humidity, and light onshore winds are limiting daytime heating compared with clearer conditions on the 24th, while coastal marine influence further moderates peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur midday, but shower chances rising in the afternoon introduce downside risk to the maximum. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between residual warmth and the cooling effects of increased cloudiness and moisture advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance on the 24th will be key for refining the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$319結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan’s September 25 high will likely peak near 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and northeasterly flow ahead of a low-pressure system. Persistent overcast skies, higher humidity, and light onshore winds are limiting daytime heating compared with clearer conditions on the 24th, while coastal marine influence further moderates peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur midday, but shower chances rising in the afternoon introduce downside risk to the maximum. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between residual warmth and the cooling effects of increased cloudiness and moisture advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance on the 24th will be key for refining the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$319結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Busan’s September 25 high will likely peak near 25–26°C under increasing cloud cover and northeasterly flow ahead of a low-pressure system. Persistent overcast skies, higher humidity, and light onshore winds are limiting daytime heating compared with clearer conditions on the 24th, while coastal marine influence further moderates peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur midday, but shower chances rising in the afternoon introduce downside risk to the maximum. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing the balance between residual warmth and the cooling effects of increased cloudiness and moisture advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance on the 24th will be key for refining the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions