Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate multi-cloud conditions over Beijing on September 25, with highs most likely between 25–27 °C under northeast winds. Cloud cover will limit surface heating compared with clearer days earlier in the week, while modest cool-air advection following Thursday’s rain keeps daytime maxima in check. Typical September variability in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures often hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23–26 °C. Official maximum-temperature readings from Beijing stations will resolve the market once the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日北京最高溫度？
9月25日北京最高溫度？
24°C 30%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
26°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
24%
24°C
30%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 30%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
26°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
19°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
20°C
$195 交易量
4%
21°C
$11 交易量
5%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$5 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
18%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate multi-cloud conditions over Beijing on September 25, with highs most likely between 25–27 °C under northeast winds. Cloud cover will limit surface heating compared with clearer days earlier in the week, while modest cool-air advection following Thursday’s rain keeps daytime maxima in check. Typical September variability in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures often hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23–26 °C. Official maximum-temperature readings from Beijing stations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate multi-cloud conditions over Beijing on September 25, with highs most likely between 25–27 °C under northeast winds. Cloud cover will limit surface heating compared with clearer days earlier in the week, while modest cool-air advection following Thursday’s rain keeps daytime maxima in check. Typical September variability in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures often hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23–26 °C. Official maximum-temperature readings from Beijing stations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate multi-cloud conditions over Beijing on September 25, with highs most likely between 25–27 °C under northeast winds. Cloud cover will limit surface heating compared with clearer days earlier in the week, while modest cool-air advection following Thursday’s rain keeps daytime maxima in check. Typical September variability in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures often hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23–26 °C. Official maximum-temperature readings from Beijing stations will resolve the market once the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions