**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 90–91 °F high for Dallas on September 3, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** This positioning stems from National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a maximum of 94 °F at DFW under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and heat indices near 100 °F, yet market activity indicates traders anchored on earlier ensemble runs forecasting a slightly cooler peak near the lower 90s. Historical climatology for early September (normal high ~92–93 °F) and the absence of stronger upper-level support or moisture that could suppress temperatures further reinforced the narrow 90–91 °F bin. Only modest revisions in final station data or alternative measurement sites could realistically shift resolution outside this range, given the tight observational agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日達拉斯的最高溫度?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$63,750 交易量
$63,750 交易量
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$63,750 交易量
$63,750 交易量
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 90–91 °F high for Dallas on September 3, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** This positioning stems from National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a maximum of 94 °F at DFW under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and heat indices near 100 °F, yet market activity indicates traders anchored on earlier ensemble runs forecasting a slightly cooler peak near the lower 90s. Historical climatology for early September (normal high ~92–93 °F) and the absence of stronger upper-level support or moisture that could suppress temperatures further reinforced the narrow 90–91 °F bin. Only modest revisions in final station data or alternative measurement sites could realistically shift resolution outside this range, given the tight observational agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions