Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston's September 4 high near 90–92 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon instability favoring scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm that could cap peak readings. Light southeast winds and high boundary-layer moisture support heat indices above 105 °F, yet widespread cloud cover or early convection may trim the actual maximum by 2–4 °F. This spread across guidance keeps the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly tied at 32.5 % and 27.5 %, while the modest probability on 92–93 °F reflects the smaller chance of clearing skies allowing full insolation. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide climatological context for the tight clustering around the low-90s range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月4日休斯敦的最高溫度？
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
81°F或以下
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85華氏度
5%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
14%
94-95華氏度
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或以上
1%
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
81°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$124 交易量
1%
84-85華氏度
$0 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$787 交易量
22%
88-89°F
$311 交易量
31%
90-91°F
$1,872 交易量
28%
92-93°F
$359 交易量
14%
94-95華氏度
$7 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$10 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
1%
華氏100度或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston's September 4 high near 90–92 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon instability favoring scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm that could cap peak readings. Light southeast winds and high boundary-layer moisture support heat indices above 105 °F, yet widespread cloud cover or early convection may trim the actual maximum by 2–4 °F. This spread across guidance keeps the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly tied at 32.5 % and 27.5 %, while the modest probability on 92–93 °F reflects the smaller chance of clearing skies allowing full insolation. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide climatological context for the tight clustering around the low-90s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,470結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston's September 4 high near 90–92 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon instability favoring scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm that could cap peak readings. Light southeast winds and high boundary-layer moisture support heat indices above 105 °F, yet widespread cloud cover or early convection may trim the actual maximum by 2–4 °F. This spread across guidance keeps the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly tied at 32.5 % and 27.5 %, while the modest probability on 92–93 °F reflects the smaller chance of clearing skies allowing full insolation. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide climatological context for the tight clustering around the low-90s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,470結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston's September 4 high near 90–92 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon instability favoring scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm that could cap peak readings. Light southeast winds and high boundary-layer moisture support heat indices above 105 °F, yet widespread cloud cover or early convection may trim the actual maximum by 2–4 °F. This spread across guidance keeps the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly tied at 32.5 % and 27.5 %, while the modest probability on 92–93 °F reflects the smaller chance of clearing skies allowing full insolation. Historical September 4 averages near 91 °F provide climatological context for the tight clustering around the low-90s range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions