Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daily maximum of 26°C for Toronto on September 4 under a mix of sun and cloud following Wednesday’s thunderstorms and associated frontal passage, which moderated humidity and temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability from lingering moisture or variable cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because numerical weather prediction outputs diverge modestly on exact afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the stable post-storm regime and absence of strong warm advection. Updated guidance through September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月4日多倫多氣溫最高？
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
27°C 23%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
6%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
4%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
27°C 23%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
9%
24°C
$106 交易量
8%
25°C
$43 交易量
27%
26°C
$17 交易量
34%
27°C
$56 交易量
23%
28°C
$32 交易量
4%
29°C
$19 交易量
3%
30°C
$16 交易量
2%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daily maximum of 26°C for Toronto on September 4 under a mix of sun and cloud following Wednesday’s thunderstorms and associated frontal passage, which moderated humidity and temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability from lingering moisture or variable cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because numerical weather prediction outputs diverge modestly on exact afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the stable post-storm regime and absence of strong warm advection. Updated guidance through September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$289結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daily maximum of 26°C for Toronto on September 4 under a mix of sun and cloud following Wednesday’s thunderstorms and associated frontal passage, which moderated humidity and temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability from lingering moisture or variable cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because numerical weather prediction outputs diverge modestly on exact afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the stable post-storm regime and absence of strong warm advection. Updated guidance through September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$289結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada project a daily maximum of 26°C for Toronto on September 4 under a mix of sun and cloud following Wednesday’s thunderstorms and associated frontal passage, which moderated humidity and temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability from lingering moisture or variable cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–27°C because numerical weather prediction outputs diverge modestly on exact afternoon clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range given the stable post-storm regime and absence of strong warm advection. Updated guidance through September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions