Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 2 under cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating, aligning with the climatological average high of 20.8°C. Trader consensus centers on 21°C (51.5%) and 22°C (35%) because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with only modest potential for slight warming if breaks in cloud cover develop. Lower odds for 20°C or below reflect stable pressure patterns that suppress stronger cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C given the absence of warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs through the evening of September 1 will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 52%
22°C 38%
20°C 9%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
52%
22°C
38%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 38%
20°C 9%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
$285 交易量
<1%
17°C
$410 交易量
<1%
18°C
$119 交易量
1%
19°C
$613 交易量
2%
20°C
$1,209 交易量
9%
21°C
$1,987 交易量
52%
22°C
$3,800 交易量
38%
23°C
$550 交易量
4%
24°C
$60 交易量
1%
25°C
$412 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 2 under cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating, aligning with the climatological average high of 20.8°C. Trader consensus centers on 21°C (51.5%) and 22°C (35%) because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with only modest potential for slight warming if breaks in cloud cover develop. Lower odds for 20°C or below reflect stable pressure patterns that suppress stronger cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C given the absence of warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs through the evening of September 1 will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$9,813結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 2 under cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating, aligning with the climatological average high of 20.8°C. Trader consensus centers on 21°C (51.5%) and 22°C (35%) because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with only modest potential for slight warming if breaks in cloud cover develop. Lower odds for 20°C or below reflect stable pressure patterns that suppress stronger cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C given the absence of warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs through the evening of September 1 will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,813結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 2 under cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating, aligning with the climatological average high of 20.8°C. Trader consensus centers on 21°C (51.5%) and 22°C (35%) because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with only modest potential for slight warming if breaks in cloud cover develop. Lower odds for 20°C or below reflect stable pressure patterns that suppress stronger cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C given the absence of warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs through the evening of September 1 will likely refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions