Recent forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on September 1, moderated by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 40–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C but can exceed 32°C under clearer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 30°C and 24.5% for 31°C incorporates this model spread and the risk that sustained precipitation or thicker cloud decks will prevent temperatures from reaching higher thresholds, with resolution depending on official observations from local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日上海最高溫度？
9月1日上海最高溫度？
30°C 52%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
52%
31°C
24%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$774 交易量
<1%
26°C
$445 交易量
<1%
27°C
$490 交易量
1%
28°C
$219 交易量
3%
29°C
$933 交易量
17%
30°C
$1,235 交易量
52%
31°C
$387 交易量
24%
32°C
$352 交易量
6%
33°C
$110 交易量
1%
34°C
$116 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$312 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on September 1, moderated by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 40–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C but can exceed 32°C under clearer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 30°C and 24.5% for 31°C incorporates this model spread and the risk that sustained precipitation or thicker cloud decks will prevent temperatures from reaching higher thresholds, with resolution depending on official observations from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,371結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on September 1, moderated by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 40–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C but can exceed 32°C under clearer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 30°C and 24.5% for 31°C incorporates this model spread and the risk that sustained precipitation or thicker cloud decks will prevent temperatures from reaching higher thresholds, with resolution depending on official observations from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,371結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on September 1, moderated by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 40–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak readings. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical early-September maxima hover around 28–30°C but can exceed 32°C under clearer conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 30°C and 24.5% for 31°C incorporates this model spread and the risk that sustained precipitation or thicker cloud decks will prevent temperatures from reaching higher thresholds, with resolution depending on official observations from local meteorological stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions