The market's 100% implied probability for a 21°C high in Buenos Aires on September 1, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) showing that peak temperature reached exactly this threshold under partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds. Post-event verification aligns with real-time station readings, eliminating forecast uncertainty that prevailed in the preceding days when models projected maxima near 18°C amid a brief stabilization after late-August instability. Historical September averages around 19°C provide context, but the specific 21°C outcome stems from localized warming before a subsequent cold front. Only revised official records or instrument discrepancies could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for established Argentine meteorological networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月1日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,391 交易量
$24,391 交易量
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,391 交易量
$24,391 交易量
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
$278 交易量
否
16°C
$304 交易量
否
17°C
$1,090 交易量
否
18°C
$1,095 交易量
否
19°C
$3,109 交易量
否
20°C
$5,273 交易量
否
21°C
$5,488 交易量
是
22°C
$3,770 交易量
否
23°C
$3,095 交易量
否
24°C
$411 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$478 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a 21°C high in Buenos Aires on September 1, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) showing that peak temperature reached exactly this threshold under partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds. Post-event verification aligns with real-time station readings, eliminating forecast uncertainty that prevailed in the preceding days when models projected maxima near 18°C amid a brief stabilization after late-August instability. Historical September averages around 19°C provide context, but the specific 21°C outcome stems from localized warming before a subsequent cold front. Only revised official records or instrument discrepancies could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for established Argentine meteorological networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$24,391結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a 21°C high in Buenos Aires on September 1, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) showing that peak temperature reached exactly this threshold under partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds. Post-event verification aligns with real-time station readings, eliminating forecast uncertainty that prevailed in the preceding days when models projected maxima near 18°C amid a brief stabilization after late-August instability. Historical September averages around 19°C provide context, but the specific 21°C outcome stems from localized warming before a subsequent cold front. Only revised official records or instrument discrepancies could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for established Argentine meteorological networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,391結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's 100% implied probability for a 21°C high in Buenos Aires on September 1, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) showing that peak temperature reached exactly this threshold under partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds. Post-event verification aligns with real-time station readings, eliminating forecast uncertainty that prevailed in the preceding days when models projected maxima near 18°C amid a brief stabilization after late-August instability. Historical September averages around 19°C provide context, but the specific 21°C outcome stems from localized warming before a subsequent cold front. Only revised official records or instrument discrepancies could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for established Argentine meteorological networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions