Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting solar heating and capping expected highs in Guangzhou around 28–30°C, well below the 33°C seasonal average. Multiple model runs and agency guidance show light easterly winds and heavy precipitation further moderating daytime peaks through reduced insolation. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C each holding substantial probability as traders weigh slight differences in rainfall timing and intensity that will determine the official daily maximum recorded by local stations. Updated short-range forecasts arriving overnight could still shift the balance among these leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日廣州最高溫度？
8月30日廣州最高溫度？
29°C 28.0%
30°C 22%
28°C 20.5%
31°C 15%
最新
$24,093 交易量
最新
$24,093 交易量
2026-08-30
27°C或以下
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
28%
30°C
22%
31°C
15%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
29°C 28.0%
30°C 22%
28°C 20.5%
31°C 15%
最新
$24,093 交易量
最新
$24,093 交易量
2026-08-30
27°C或以下
$2,013 交易量
7%
28°C
$2,921 交易量
21%
29°C
$872 交易量
28%
30°C
$3,270 交易量
22%
31°C
$1,431 交易量
15%
32°C
$2,138 交易量
6%
33°C
$3,615 交易量
2%
34°C
$3,795 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,138 交易量
<1%
36°C
$579 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting solar heating and capping expected highs in Guangzhou around 28–30°C, well below the 33°C seasonal average. Multiple model runs and agency guidance show light easterly winds and heavy precipitation further moderating daytime peaks through reduced insolation. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C each holding substantial probability as traders weigh slight differences in rainfall timing and intensity that will determine the official daily maximum recorded by local stations. Updated short-range forecasts arriving overnight could still shift the balance among these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$24,093結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting solar heating and capping expected highs in Guangzhou around 28–30°C, well below the 33°C seasonal average. Multiple model runs and agency guidance show light easterly winds and heavy precipitation further moderating daytime peaks through reduced insolation. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C each holding substantial probability as traders weigh slight differences in rainfall timing and intensity that will determine the official daily maximum recorded by local stations. Updated short-range forecasts arriving overnight could still shift the balance among these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,093結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting solar heating and capping expected highs in Guangzhou around 28–30°C, well below the 33°C seasonal average. Multiple model runs and agency guidance show light easterly winds and heavy precipitation further moderating daytime peaks through reduced insolation. These conditions create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C each holding substantial probability as traders weigh slight differences in rainfall timing and intensity that will determine the official daily maximum recorded by local stations. Updated short-range forecasts arriving overnight could still shift the balance among these leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions