Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
20°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
17%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
21°C 38%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
17%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate stable high pressure and light easterly flow over Buenos Aires on August 29, favoring a modest diurnal rise with peak temperatures likely between 16–17 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 20 °C versus 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island contributions at official stations, and minor differences among model runs regarding insolation and low-level moisture. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, yet current cooler anomalies tied to recent frontal passages have kept consensus lower, leaving room for small forecast adjustments to shift resolution between these two outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions