Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
20%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$69 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
6%
25°C
$0 交易量
9%
26°C
$7 交易量
28%
27°C
$52 交易量
44%
28°C
$0 交易量
20%
29°C
$8 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C or higher
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$147結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$147結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions