Forecast models from MetService and supporting global systems project a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C in Wellington on 28 August under strong northwesterly flow, with limited solar heating due to cloud cover and possible showers. This atmospheric setup, consistent with late-winter climatology for the region, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a 16 °C peak. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-teens Celsius but remaining below thresholds that would push the daily high substantially higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a rapid shift in wind direction that allows warmer air advection, though current model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月28日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 99.5%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
最新
$53,284 交易量
最新
$53,284 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.5%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
最新
$53,284 交易量
最新
$53,284 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C or below
$667 交易量
<1%
11°C
$520 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,446 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,762 交易量
<1%
14°C
$9,385 交易量
<1%
15°C
$13,296 交易量
<1%
16°C
$8,322 交易量
100%
17°C
$9,952 交易量
1%
18°C
$4,731 交易量
<1%
19°C
$646 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and supporting global systems project a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C in Wellington on 28 August under strong northwesterly flow, with limited solar heating due to cloud cover and possible showers. This atmospheric setup, consistent with late-winter climatology for the region, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a 16 °C peak. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-teens Celsius but remaining below thresholds that would push the daily high substantially higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a rapid shift in wind direction that allows warmer air advection, though current model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$53,284結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and supporting global systems project a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C in Wellington on 28 August under strong northwesterly flow, with limited solar heating due to cloud cover and possible showers. This atmospheric setup, consistent with late-winter climatology for the region, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a 16 °C peak. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-teens Celsius but remaining below thresholds that would push the daily high substantially higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a rapid shift in wind direction that allows warmer air advection, though current model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,284結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from MetService and supporting global systems project a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C in Wellington on 28 August under strong northwesterly flow, with limited solar heating due to cloud cover and possible showers. This atmospheric setup, consistent with late-winter climatology for the region, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for a 16 °C peak. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-teens Celsius but remaining below thresholds that would push the daily high substantially higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a rapid shift in wind direction that allows warmer air advection, though current model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions