**Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in Toronto on August 29, with 94% implied probability.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a nighttime low near this threshold under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–17°C but radiative cooling under clearing conditions can dip lower. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market positioning as traders weigh verified station data against typical diurnal ranges. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm-air advection or persistent cloud cover that limits overnight cooling below the observed baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日多倫多氣溫最低?
14°C 94%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
11°C 1.0%
$2,156 交易量
$2,156 交易量
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
94%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
14°C 94%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
11°C 1.0%
$2,156 交易量
$2,156 交易量
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
94%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 14°C minimum in Toronto on August 29, with 94% implied probability.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a nighttime low near this threshold under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–17°C but radiative cooling under clearing conditions can dip lower. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the market positioning as traders weigh verified station data against typical diurnal ranges. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm-air advection or persistent cloud cover that limits overnight cooling below the observed baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions