Forecast divergence among numerical weather models is the main driver of the closely matched Polymarket odds for Shenzhen’s August 29 high, with 33°C and 34°C each near 29%. Subtropical moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered heavy rain expected that day can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or urban heat-island effects could push readings toward 34–35°C. Recent model runs show a spread from the low 30s to mid-30s Celsius depending on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the balance of ensemble guidance and official agency updates due tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日深圳最高溫度？
8月29日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
27°C or below
$256 交易量
<1%
28°C
$100 交易量
<1%
29°C
$214 交易量
1%
30°C
$276 交易量
2%
31°C
$441 交易量
3%
32°C
$268 交易量
18%
33°C
$272 交易量
30%
34°C
$62 交易量
29%
35°C
$38 交易量
16%
36°C
$425 交易量
5%
37°C or higher
$143 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast divergence among numerical weather models is the main driver of the closely matched Polymarket odds for Shenzhen’s August 29 high, with 33°C and 34°C each near 29%. Subtropical moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered heavy rain expected that day can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or urban heat-island effects could push readings toward 34–35°C. Recent model runs show a spread from the low 30s to mid-30s Celsius depending on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the balance of ensemble guidance and official agency updates due tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,495結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast divergence among numerical weather models is the main driver of the closely matched Polymarket odds for Shenzhen’s August 29 high, with 33°C and 34°C each near 29%. Subtropical moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered heavy rain expected that day can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or urban heat-island effects could push readings toward 34–35°C. Recent model runs show a spread from the low 30s to mid-30s Celsius depending on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the balance of ensemble guidance and official agency updates due tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,495結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast divergence among numerical weather models is the main driver of the closely matched Polymarket odds for Shenzhen’s August 29 high, with 33°C and 34°C each near 29%. Subtropical moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered heavy rain expected that day can suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or urban heat-island effects could push readings toward 34–35°C. Recent model runs show a spread from the low 30s to mid-30s Celsius depending on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the balance of ensemble guidance and official agency updates due tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions