Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日北京最高溫度？
8月28日北京最高溫度？
24°C 39%
23°C 21%
25°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
19%
26°C
12%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 21%
25°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
20°C or below
$39 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C
$0 交易量
16%
23°C
$102 交易量
21%
24°C
$7 交易量
30%
25°C
$35 交易量
19%
26°C
$20 交易量
12%
27°C
$29 交易量
5%
28°C
$12 交易量
4%
29°C
$32 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$36 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$311結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$311結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions