Recent forecast model runs show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for Beijing on August 26, with ensembles centering near 20–22 °C but diverging on the strength of incoming moisture and cloud cover that will modulate radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected that night can suppress the diurnal temperature range by limiting nighttime heat loss, while any clearer breaks would allow lows to dip closer to the 19 °C mark favored by some traders. Historical late-August climatology places typical Beijing overnight lows near 21 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly undercuts due to the transient weather pattern. Traders are therefore weighting near-term updates from global and regional models ahead of the final observation window, as small shifts in the timing or intensity of precipitation could easily move the realized minimum across the tightly bunched 19–21 °C resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日北京最低溫度？
8月26日北京最低溫度？
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 23%
24°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
22%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
8%
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 23%
24°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$135 交易量
8%
18°C
$36 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
23%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
28%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
22%
25°C
$46 交易量
8%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$15 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for Beijing on August 26, with ensembles centering near 20–22 °C but diverging on the strength of incoming moisture and cloud cover that will modulate radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected that night can suppress the diurnal temperature range by limiting nighttime heat loss, while any clearer breaks would allow lows to dip closer to the 19 °C mark favored by some traders. Historical late-August climatology places typical Beijing overnight lows near 21 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly undercuts due to the transient weather pattern. Traders are therefore weighting near-term updates from global and regional models ahead of the final observation window, as small shifts in the timing or intensity of precipitation could easily move the realized minimum across the tightly bunched 19–21 °C resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$232結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for Beijing on August 26, with ensembles centering near 20–22 °C but diverging on the strength of incoming moisture and cloud cover that will modulate radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected that night can suppress the diurnal temperature range by limiting nighttime heat loss, while any clearer breaks would allow lows to dip closer to the 19 °C mark favored by some traders. Historical late-August climatology places typical Beijing overnight lows near 21 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly undercuts due to the transient weather pattern. Traders are therefore weighting near-term updates from global and regional models ahead of the final observation window, as small shifts in the timing or intensity of precipitation could easily move the realized minimum across the tightly bunched 19–21 °C resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$232結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for Beijing on August 26, with ensembles centering near 20–22 °C but diverging on the strength of incoming moisture and cloud cover that will modulate radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity and light rain expected that night can suppress the diurnal temperature range by limiting nighttime heat loss, while any clearer breaks would allow lows to dip closer to the 19 °C mark favored by some traders. Historical late-August climatology places typical Beijing overnight lows near 21 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly undercuts due to the transient weather pattern. Traders are therefore weighting near-term updates from global and regional models ahead of the final observation window, as small shifts in the timing or intensity of precipitation could easily move the realized minimum across the tightly bunched 19–21 °C resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions