Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and westerly flow from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Toronto ahead of August 24, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 19–21 °C across Environment Canada-aligned guidance and private models. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing and moderate winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming, while elevated dew points sustain high humidity and reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 19 °C (33.5 %) and 20 °C (29.5 %), with 21 °C (18 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day break. Historical climatology places the date’s normal high near 25.5 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup has shifted probabilities well below average. Official resolution will rest on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported from Toronto Pearson or the primary observing network.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月24日多倫多氣溫最高？
19°C 33%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
33%
20°C
29%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
14°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5 交易量
1%
16°C
$61 交易量
3%
17°C
$233 交易量
5%
18°C
$371 交易量
16%
19°C
$121 交易量
33%
20°C
$90 交易量
29%
21°C
$366 交易量
12%
22°C
$62 交易量
4%
23°C
$15 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and westerly flow from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Toronto ahead of August 24, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 19–21 °C across Environment Canada-aligned guidance and private models. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing and moderate winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming, while elevated dew points sustain high humidity and reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 19 °C (33.5 %) and 20 °C (29.5 %), with 21 °C (18 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day break. Historical climatology places the date’s normal high near 25.5 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup has shifted probabilities well below average. Official resolution will rest on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported from Toronto Pearson or the primary observing network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,340結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and westerly flow from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Toronto ahead of August 24, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 19–21 °C across Environment Canada-aligned guidance and private models. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing and moderate winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming, while elevated dew points sustain high humidity and reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 19 °C (33.5 %) and 20 °C (29.5 %), with 21 °C (18 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day break. Historical climatology places the date’s normal high near 25.5 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup has shifted probabilities well below average. Official resolution will rest on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported from Toronto Pearson or the primary observing network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,340結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETPersistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and westerly flow from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Toronto ahead of August 24, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 19–21 °C across Environment Canada-aligned guidance and private models. Recent model runs show limited afternoon clearing and moderate winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming, while elevated dew points sustain high humidity and reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 19 °C (33.5 %) and 20 °C (29.5 %), with 21 °C (18 %) reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day break. Historical climatology places the date’s normal high near 25.5 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup has shifted probabilities well below average. Official resolution will rest on the highest hourly or daily maximum reported from Toronto Pearson or the primary observing network.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions