Recent model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates Amsterdam will likely see a maximum temperature near 21–23 °C on August 25, as a cooler maritime air mass replaces the mid-August heat dome that produced several days above 30 °C earlier in the month. After the fifth regional heatwave ended around August 14, westerly flow has brought more typical late-summer conditions, with light rain possible and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages for the city hover around 21–22 °C, and current ensemble spreads show low probability of exceeding 25 °C or dropping below 18 °C. Traders are therefore weighting near-normal outcomes most heavily, with resolution depending on the official KNMI station reading at the day’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
24°C 41%
23°C 31%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
41%
25°C
22%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C或以上
2%
24°C 41%
23°C 31%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
41%
25°C
22%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from the ECMWF and KNMI indicates Amsterdam will likely see a maximum temperature near 21–23 °C on August 25, as a cooler maritime air mass replaces the mid-August heat dome that produced several days above 30 °C earlier in the month. After the fifth regional heatwave ended around August 14, westerly flow has brought more typical late-summer conditions, with light rain possible and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages for the city hover around 21–22 °C, and current ensemble spreads show low probability of exceeding 25 °C or dropping below 18 °C. Traders are therefore weighting near-normal outcomes most heavily, with resolution depending on the official KNMI station reading at the day’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions