Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 19°C and 21°C. Late-August climatology features a seasonal cooling trend with average highs around 21–22°C, moderated here by northwesterly flow from the Atlantic that limits warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection expected to push temperatures higher, while light winds and possible cloud cover cap extremes. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical model spread in the final 48 hours, positioning the 19–21°C range as the consensus cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月23日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
26%
20°C
51%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
1%
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$50 交易量
7%
18°C
$30 交易量
12%
19°C
$39 交易量
26%
20°C
$71 交易量
51%
21°C
$0 交易量
20%
22°C
$0 交易量
5%
23°C
$8 交易量
2%
24°C
$20 交易量
1%
25°C或更高
$20 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 19°C and 21°C. Late-August climatology features a seasonal cooling trend with average highs around 21–22°C, moderated here by northwesterly flow from the Atlantic that limits warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection expected to push temperatures higher, while light winds and possible cloud cover cap extremes. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical model spread in the final 48 hours, positioning the 19–21°C range as the consensus cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$238結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 19°C and 21°C. Late-August climatology features a seasonal cooling trend with average highs around 21–22°C, moderated here by northwesterly flow from the Atlantic that limits warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection expected to push temperatures higher, while light winds and possible cloud cover cap extremes. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical model spread in the final 48 hours, positioning the 19–21°C range as the consensus cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$238結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, 2026, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 19°C and 21°C. Late-August climatology features a seasonal cooling trend with average highs around 21–22°C, moderated here by northwesterly flow from the Atlantic that limits warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection expected to push temperatures higher, while light winds and possible cloud cover cap extremes. Traders weigh these stable conditions against typical model spread in the final 48 hours, positioning the 19–21°C range as the consensus cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions