Current weather models, including those from the Met Office and regional forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 23°C for Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy or broken cloud conditions, with limited precipitation and moderate winds. This aligns closely with August climatology, where historical highs average around 22–24°C, and supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 22–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or thermal advection over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observational data from official Moscow stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日莫斯科最高溫度?
23°C 51%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
25°C 6%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
27%
23°C
51%
24°C
17%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
5%
23°C 51%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
25°C 6%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
27%
23°C
51%
24°C
17%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models, including those from the Met Office and regional forecasts, indicate a daily maximum near 23°C for Moscow on August 23 under partly cloudy or broken cloud conditions, with limited precipitation and moderate winds. This aligns closely with August climatology, where historical highs average around 22–24°C, and supports the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 22–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or thermal advection over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observational data from official Moscow stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions