Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover likely developing over Beijing on August 23, which should limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This pattern follows several days of variable moisture and weak steering flow that have already produced similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus favoring modest convection against the chance of partial clearing that could allow brief excursions to 35 °C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs and official forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日北京最高溫度？
8月23日北京最高溫度？
33°C 32%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
26%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
7%
33°C 32%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
27°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$6 交易量
13%
32°C
$31 交易量
23%
33°C
$0 交易量
32%
34°C
$0 交易量
26%
35°C
$2 交易量
13%
36°C
$0 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$5 交易量
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover likely developing over Beijing on August 23, which should limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This pattern follows several days of variable moisture and weak steering flow that have already produced similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus favoring modest convection against the chance of partial clearing that could allow brief excursions to 35 °C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs and official forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover likely developing over Beijing on August 23, which should limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This pattern follows several days of variable moisture and weak steering flow that have already produced similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus favoring modest convection against the chance of partial clearing that could allow brief excursions to 35 °C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs and official forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover likely developing over Beijing on August 23, which should limit peak solar heating and cap daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This pattern follows several days of variable moisture and weak steering flow that have already produced similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus favoring modest convection against the chance of partial clearing that could allow brief excursions to 35 °C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs and official forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions