Current short-range forecast models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 22–25°C, driven by lingering summer humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minima around 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders' near-even odds between 24°C and 25°C reflect this genuine uncertainty ahead of updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日北京最低溫度？
8月23日北京最低溫度？
24°C 23%
25°C 22%
28°C 19%
23°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
14%
23°C
18%
24°C
23%
25°C
22%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
25°C 22%
28°C 19%
23°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$27 交易量
1%
20°C
$27 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
23%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
15%
27°C
$75 交易量
11%
28°C
$5 交易量
19%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 22–25°C, driven by lingering summer humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minima around 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders' near-even odds between 24°C and 25°C reflect this genuine uncertainty ahead of updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$139結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 22–25°C, driven by lingering summer humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minima around 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders' near-even odds between 24°C and 25°C reflect this genuine uncertainty ahead of updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$139結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent short-range forecast models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 22–25°C, driven by lingering summer humidity, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Recent observations show similar minima around 22°C amid partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders' near-even odds between 24°C and 25°C reflect this genuine uncertainty ahead of updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions