Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日巴黎最高溫度？
8月21日巴黎最高溫度？
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
$69,056 交易量
最新
$69,056 交易量
2026-08-21
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
44%
24°C
37%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
$69,056 交易量
最新
$69,056 交易量
2026-08-21
20°C or below
$14,162 交易量
1%
21°C
$6,683 交易量
1%
22°C
$4,437 交易量
13%
23°C
$10,715 交易量
44%
24°C
$5,346 交易量
37%
25°C
$6,474 交易量
8%
26°C
$7,830 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,513 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,787 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,846 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$69,056結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69,056結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions