Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Paris hovering around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by mild Atlantic air advection, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds under a weak high-pressure influence. Traders have priced 16°C as the clear leader at over 50% implied probability because recent runs show limited potential for deeper cooling without stronger high pressure or clearer skies, while 14°C captures residual downside risk from scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this range, with typical lows near 14–15°C, though intraday updates to boundary-layer moisture could shift the official minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日巴黎最低溫度？
8月21日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 60%
14°C 23%
15°C 11%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
53%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 60%
14°C 23%
15°C 11%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
11°C或以下
$444 交易量
<1%
12°C
$437 交易量
1%
13°C
$615 交易量
4%
14°C
$2,097 交易量
34%
15°C
$666 交易量
20%
16°C
$237 交易量
53%
17°C
$1,484 交易量
<1%
18°C
$913 交易量
<1%
19°C
$291 交易量
<1%
20°C
$291 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$281 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Paris hovering around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by mild Atlantic air advection, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds under a weak high-pressure influence. Traders have priced 16°C as the clear leader at over 50% implied probability because recent runs show limited potential for deeper cooling without stronger high pressure or clearer skies, while 14°C captures residual downside risk from scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this range, with typical lows near 14–15°C, though intraday updates to boundary-layer moisture could shift the official minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$7,755結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Paris hovering around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by mild Atlantic air advection, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds under a weak high-pressure influence. Traders have priced 16°C as the clear leader at over 50% implied probability because recent runs show limited potential for deeper cooling without stronger high pressure or clearer skies, while 14°C captures residual downside risk from scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this range, with typical lows near 14–15°C, though intraday updates to boundary-layer moisture could shift the official minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,755結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF consensus indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Paris hovering around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by mild Atlantic air advection, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light winds under a weak high-pressure influence. Traders have priced 16°C as the clear leader at over 50% implied probability because recent runs show limited potential for deeper cooling without stronger high pressure or clearer skies, while 14°C captures residual downside risk from scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this range, with typical lows near 14–15°C, though intraday updates to boundary-layer moisture could shift the official minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions