Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日深圳最高溫度？
8月21日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
16%
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
$107 交易量
<1%
26°C
$35 交易量
4%
27°C
$99 交易量
3%
28°C
$41 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
13%
30°C
$26 交易量
23%
31°C
$17 交易量
24%
32°C
$44 交易量
16%
33°C
$94 交易量
9%
34°C
$52 交易量
4%
35°C or higher
$47 交易量
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$561結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Expected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$561結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETExpected heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection represent the main driver moderating Shenzhen’s maximum temperatures on August 21, keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. In this subtropical coastal setting, high atmospheric moisture fuels frequent thunderstorms that reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon peaks despite seasonal warmth. Recent model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and the UK Met Office points to daytime highs near 30–31 °C, with uncertainty arising from the precise timing and intensity of showers. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages near 32 °C, anticipating further CMA or global model updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions