Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 19 indicate a maximum of 23–24 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers, establishing the market-implied 25 °C outcome through close alignment with observed model consensus and historical August baselines near 22 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable westerly flow and limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with recent cooling after the mid-August heatwave. A realistic challenge would require unexpected prolonged clear skies or a sharp ridge strengthening that pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日倫敦的最高溫度?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$158,472 交易量
$158,472 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$158,472 交易量
$158,472 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 19 indicate a maximum of 23–24 °C under sunny intervals with scattered showers, establishing the market-implied 25 °C outcome through close alignment with observed model consensus and historical August baselines near 22 °C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable westerly flow and limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with recent cooling after the mid-August heatwave. A realistic challenge would require unexpected prolonged clear skies or a sharp ridge strengthening that pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions