Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 1 converge on a high in the mid-80s amid southwest flow, elevated humidity, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This setup favors the market's leading 86-87°F bin by supporting afternoon warming before convection develops, while storm timing and coverage create uncertainty that spreads probability across 84-85°F and 88-89°F outcomes. Above-average readings relative to early-September climatology reflect lingering summer warmth, though heavy rainfall or earlier cloud cover could suppress peaks below 84°F. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for shifts in convective initiation and maximum temperature verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日紐約市的最高溫度？
9月1日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
19%
92°F或以上
13%
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
73°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
10%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
20%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
31%
84-85°F
$14 交易量
21%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
26%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
29%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
19%
92°F或以上
$0 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 1 converge on a high in the mid-80s amid southwest flow, elevated humidity, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This setup favors the market's leading 86-87°F bin by supporting afternoon warming before convection develops, while storm timing and coverage create uncertainty that spreads probability across 84-85°F and 88-89°F outcomes. Above-average readings relative to early-September climatology reflect lingering summer warmth, though heavy rainfall or earlier cloud cover could suppress peaks below 84°F. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for shifts in convective initiation and maximum temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$14結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 1 converge on a high in the mid-80s amid southwest flow, elevated humidity, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This setup favors the market's leading 86-87°F bin by supporting afternoon warming before convection develops, while storm timing and coverage create uncertainty that spreads probability across 84-85°F and 88-89°F outcomes. Above-average readings relative to early-September climatology reflect lingering summer warmth, though heavy rainfall or earlier cloud cover could suppress peaks below 84°F. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for shifts in convective initiation and maximum temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 1 converge on a high in the mid-80s amid southwest flow, elevated humidity, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This setup favors the market's leading 86-87°F bin by supporting afternoon warming before convection develops, while storm timing and coverage create uncertainty that spreads probability across 84-85°F and 88-89°F outcomes. Above-average readings relative to early-September climatology reflect lingering summer warmth, though heavy rainfall or earlier cloud cover could suppress peaks below 84°F. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for shifts in convective initiation and maximum temperature verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions