Recent rainfall and lingering cloud cover from late August systems have suppressed daytime highs in Chengdu, setting up a transition toward clearer conditions on the 30th that allows greater solar heating. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on afternoon maxima of 31–33 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of any residual showers or convective clouds that could limit insolation. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location amplifies local humidity and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow. Trader consensus around 31–33 °C reflects this narrow band of model outcomes, with small probability tails for 30 °C or 34 °C arising from possible forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日成都最高溫度？
8月30日成都最高溫度？
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
19%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
$559 交易量
5%
29°C
$41 交易量
7%
30°C
$5 交易量
13%
31°C
$43 交易量
19%
32°C
$37 交易量
21%
33°C
$0 交易量
19%
34°C
$22 交易量
12%
35°C
$2 交易量
7%
36°C
$41 交易量
4%
37°C
$779 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$786 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and lingering cloud cover from late August systems have suppressed daytime highs in Chengdu, setting up a transition toward clearer conditions on the 30th that allows greater solar heating. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on afternoon maxima of 31–33 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of any residual showers or convective clouds that could limit insolation. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location amplifies local humidity and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow. Trader consensus around 31–33 °C reflects this narrow band of model outcomes, with small probability tails for 30 °C or 34 °C arising from possible forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,315結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and lingering cloud cover from late August systems have suppressed daytime highs in Chengdu, setting up a transition toward clearer conditions on the 30th that allows greater solar heating. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on afternoon maxima of 31–33 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of any residual showers or convective clouds that could limit insolation. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location amplifies local humidity and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow. Trader consensus around 31–33 °C reflects this narrow band of model outcomes, with small probability tails for 30 °C or 34 °C arising from possible forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,315結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent rainfall and lingering cloud cover from late August systems have suppressed daytime highs in Chengdu, setting up a transition toward clearer conditions on the 30th that allows greater solar heating. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on afternoon maxima of 31–33 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing and extent of any residual showers or convective clouds that could limit insolation. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location amplifies local humidity and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow. Trader consensus around 31–33 °C reflects this narrow band of model outcomes, with small probability tails for 30 °C or 34 °C arising from possible forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions