Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a high near 28–29°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–4 levels, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those thresholds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity moderate daytime heating, while cloud cover limits solar radiation and reduces peak temperatures compared to clear conditions. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without strong southerly flow that could elevate readings toward 30°C or higher. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes, with traders weighing uncertainty in final model consensus and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日青島氣溫最高?
28°C 34%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
5%
28°C 34%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a high near 28–29°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–4 levels, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those thresholds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity moderate daytime heating, while cloud cover limits solar radiation and reduces peak temperatures compared to clear conditions. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without strong southerly flow that could elevate readings toward 30°C or higher. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes, with traders weighing uncertainty in final model consensus and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions