**Latest meteorological guidance positions 40°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah's August 30 maximum, with models showing highs of 38–41°C under persistent clear skies and northwest winds.** Typical late-August conditions feature strong solar heating over the Red Sea coastal plain, minimal cloud cover, and dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature, consistent with historical August averages near 38–39°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C. Recent model runs from sources including the Met Office (41°C) and others cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s, with no significant cooling influences or moisture intrusions expected before resolution. Trader consensus at 55% for 40°C+ reflects this ensemble range and the narrow window for sub-40°C outcomes under stable high-pressure dominance. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月30日的最高溫度?
40°C或以上 57%
39°C 22%
38°C 12%
37°C 5%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C
12%
39°C
22%
40°C或以上
57%
40°C或以上 57%
39°C 22%
38°C 12%
37°C 5%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C
12%
39°C
22%
40°C或以上
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest meteorological guidance positions 40°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah's August 30 maximum, with models showing highs of 38–41°C under persistent clear skies and northwest winds.** Typical late-August conditions feature strong solar heating over the Red Sea coastal plain, minimal cloud cover, and dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature, consistent with historical August averages near 38–39°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C. Recent model runs from sources including the Met Office (41°C) and others cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s, with no significant cooling influences or moisture intrusions expected before resolution. Trader consensus at 55% for 40°C+ reflects this ensemble range and the narrow window for sub-40°C outcomes under stable high-pressure dominance. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions