**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 28, 2026, call for a high near 90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term average high of 90.4°F for the date.** Easterly flow and sea-breeze circulation typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to limit extreme heating, while high humidity supports heat-index values above 100°F even if air temperatures peak modestly. Recent model consensus and climatological data show daily maxima clustering in the 89–93°F range, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on the 90–91°F (36%) and 92–93°F (56%) bins. Scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the peak if storms develop early, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of that envelope; resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 2%
$13,030 交易量
$13,030 交易量
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 2%
$13,030 交易量
$13,030 交易量
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 28, 2026, call for a high near 90°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term average high of 90.4°F for the date.** Easterly flow and sea-breeze circulation typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to limit extreme heating, while high humidity supports heat-index values above 100°F even if air temperatures peak modestly. Recent model consensus and climatological data show daily maxima clustering in the 89–93°F range, explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on the 90–91°F (36%) and 92–93°F (56%) bins. Scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the peak if storms develop early, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of that envelope; resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions