Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27 under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and minimal afternoon convection. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air support strong daytime heating, while heat indices near 109°F reflect elevated humidity. These conditions align with the market’s leading bins at 98–99°F (44.5%) and 100–101°F (20.5%), as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range. A modest north wind shift may limit further intensification compared with today’s hotter readings, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 102°F or below 96°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 7%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 7%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 27 under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and minimal afternoon convection. Persistent high pressure and dry mid-level air support strong daytime heating, while heat indices near 109°F reflect elevated humidity. These conditions align with the market’s leading bins at 98–99°F (44.5%) and 100–101°F (20.5%), as ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range. A modest north wind shift may limit further intensification compared with today’s hotter readings, keeping lower-probability outcomes above 102°F or below 96°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions